CONSISTENTLY DELIVERS

Nov 9, 2016

NCGA Week in Review: North Carolina Election Results

Election Results At-A-Glance

Here’s a quick look at the results of NC’s elections:

  • Over 4.7 million voters cast ballots in NC, up from 4.5 million in the 2012 presidential election.
  • Early voters accounted for almost half of the ballots cast in the state.
  • The Republicans retained a supermajority in both the state House and Senate and gained several seats in the Council of State.
  • Three statewide races remain close and may be headed for recounts.
  • Republicans retained a majority of the US House of Representatives and Senate. North Carolina will send ten Republicans and three Democrats to represent the state in the US House and Republican Sen. Richard Burr back to the US Senate.
  • NC’s electoral votes favored President-Elect Donald Trump, winning the 15 electoral votes from the swing state.

All election results can be accessed through the NC State Board of Elections here.

Council of State

In the Council of State, Republicans picked up State Treasurer, Superintendent of Public Instruction and Commissioner of Insurance while the races for governor, attorney general and state auditor remain too close to call.

Pending certification of votes by November 18, there may be recounts in these three races. Local boards of elections will certify vote counts from now until ten days after election, November 18, if at that time the trailing candidate is behind by 10,000 or less votes, or one-half of one percent, whichever is less, a recount is required by state law.

Governor

The race for the governor between Republican incumbent Governor Pat McCrory and Democrat and Attorney General Roy Cooper remained in a deadlock throughout the campaign and into the late hours last night. The race is still too close to call, but appears to favor Roy Cooper. As it stands, Roy Cooper leads McCrory with 48.97% of the vote – a lead of 4,979 votes.

Initially, McCrory seemed to have the lead, but after over 90,000 ballots in Durham County were counted late, the lead shifted to slimly favor Cooper.

Shortly after 1 am, Roy Cooper made a short victory speech while McCrory reminded voters that provisional ballots and uncounted votes could continue to influence the election.

A spokesman for the State Board of Elections, Patrick Gannon, said that all 100 counties will begin reviewing provisional ballots between now and November 18, the date that all counties must certify their vote counts. At that time, if the trailing candidate is within 10,000 votes or .5%, he may ask for a recount under state law.

Lieutenant Governor

Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest won his reelection bid against Democratic challenger Linda Coleman and Libertarian Jacki Cole, with 51.87% of the vote.

Attorney General

It currently appears that Democrat Josh Stein has narrowly defeated Republican Buck Newton with 50.23% of the vote in the race for the open seat of Attorney General. Stein is currently 21,000 votes ahead of Newton, who has not conceded, but his lead may change pending certification of outstanding ballots. 

State Auditor

Democratic incumbent Beth Wood is currently 3,100 votes ahead of Republican challenger Chuck Stuber. Much like in the governor’s race, if the trailing candidate is within 10,000 votes of winner, he or she may call for a recount.

State Treasurer

Republican Dale Folwell defeated Democrat Dan Blue III. Folwell won 52.74% of the vote. Democrat Janet Cowell announced that she would not seek reelection after serving two years, leaving this seat open.

Commissioner of Agriculture

Republican incumbent Steve Troxler defeated Democratic challenger Walter Smith with 55.61% of the vote.

Commissioner of Insurance

Democratic incumbent Wayne Goodwin was defeated by Republican challenger Mike Causey last night. Causey won with 50.43% of the vote.

Commissioner of Labor

Republican incumbent Cherie Berry defeated Democratic challenger Charles Meeker with 55.22% of the vote.

Secretary of State

Democratic incumbent Elaine Marshall kept her seat against Republican challenger Michael LaPaglia with 52.23% of the vote.

State Superintendent

Republican challenger Mark Johnson defeated Democratic incumbent June Atkinson. Johnson achieved 50.63% of the vote.

To review McGuireWoods Consulting’s spotlight on state House races, click here.

NC House of Representative Elections

The Republican Party has retained a supermajority in the NC House of Representatives. There were 62 contested elections and 58 uncontested elections. The GOP and the Democratic party flipped four seats each, effectively cancelling one another out. The partisan balance will continue to be 75-45.

The Democratic party made gains in urban areas, successfully flipping four seats in the Charlotte and Raleigh areas. In Mecklenburg County, Republican Rep. Rob Bryan lost his reelection campaign against Democrat Mary Belk and Democrat Chaz Beasley picked up an open seat against Republican Danae Caulfield. In Wake County, Republican Rep. Marilyn Avila trailed behind Democratic challenger Joe John and Republican Rep. Gary Pendleton lost to Democrat Cynthia Ball.

The Republican also party flipped four seats across the state. Republican Mike Clampitt defeated Democratic incumbent Rep. Joe Sam Queen in District 19, which spans Haywood, Jackson and Swain counties. In the Outer Banks, Republican Beverly Boswell picked up the seat left open by unaffiliated Rep. Paul Tine in the 6th District which covers Beaufort, Dare, Hyde and Washington Counties, her opponent, Democrat Warren Judge, passed away last weekend. Republican Brenden Jones was elected in District 46 to take the open seat which was previously held by Democrat Rep. Ken Waddell; the district encompasses Bladen, Columbus and Robeson Counties. Democratic incumbent Rep. Brad Salmon failed to hold off Republican challenger John Sauls in the 51st District, which includes parts of Harnett and Lee Counties.

In the below chart, incumbents are marked with an asterisk next to their name and the winner of each race is highlighted in yellow.

District

Counties

Democrat

Republican

Libertarian/ Unaffiliated

1

Cambden, Chowan, Currituck, Pasquotank, Pequimans, Tyrell

Sam Davis

Bob Steinburg*


2

Granville, Person

Joe Parrish

Larry Yarborough *


3

Beaufort, Crave, Pamlico

Marva Fisher Baldwin

Michael Speciale *


6

Beaufort, Dare, Hyde, Washington

Warren Judge

Beverly Boswell


7

Franklin, Nash

Bobbie Richardson *

William Duke Hancock II


9

Pitt

Brian Farkas

Greg Murphy *


10

Craven, Greene, Lenoir, Wayne

Evelyn Paul

John Bell *


11

Wake

Duane Hall *

Ray Martin

Brian Lewis (Libertarian)

13

Cateret, Jones

Rodney Alexander

Pat McElraft *


15

Onslow

Dan Whitten

Phil Shepard *


16

Onslow, Pender

Steve Under

Chris Millis *


17

Brunswick

Charles Warren

Frank Iler*


18

Brunswick, New Hanover

Susi Hamiton *

Jerry Benton

25

Franklin, Nash

James Gaillard

Jeffrey Collins *


26

Johnston

Rich Nixon

Donna McDowell White


28

Johnston

Patricia Oliver

Larry Strickland


30

Durham

Paul Luebke *

Elissa Fuchs


34

Wake

Grier Martin *

Bill Morris


35

Wake

Terence Everitt

Chris Malone *


36

Wake

Jen Ferrell

Nelson Dollar *

Brian Irving (Libertarian)

37

Wake

Randy Barrow

Linda Hunt-Williams


38

Wake

Yvonne Lewis Holley *

Olen Watson III

40

Wake

Joe John

Marilyn Avila *


41

Wake

Gale Adcock *

Chris Shoffner


44

Cumberland

William Richardson *

Jim Arp


46

Bladen, Columbus, Robeson

Tim Benton

Brenden Jones

Thomas Howell, Jr. (Libertarian)

49

Wake

Cynthia Ball

Gary Pendleton *

David Ulmer (Libertarian)

50

Durham, Orange

Graig Meyer *

Rod Chaney


51

Harnett, Lee

Brad Salmon *

John Sauls


53

Harnett

Jon Blum

David Lewis *


54

Chatham, Lee

Robert Reives *

Jon Blum


55

Anson, Union

Kim Hargett

Mark Brody *


59

Guilford

Scott Jones

Jon Hardister


65

Caswell, Rockingham

H. Keith Duncan

Bert Jones *


67

Montgomery, Stanly

Carson Snyder

Justin Burr *

Billy Mills (Unaffiliated)

69

Union

Gordon Daniels

Dean Arp *


70

Randolph

Lois Bohnsack

Pat Hurley *


74

Forsyth

Marilynn Baker

Debra Conrad *


78

Moore, Randolph

Bill McCaskill

Allen McNeill *


81

Davidson

Andy Hedrick

Larry Potts


82

Cabarrus

Earle Schecter

Larry Pittman *


83

Cabarrus

Jeremy Hachen

Linda Johnson *


84

Iredell

Jone Wayne Kahl

Rena Turner *


86

Burke

Tim Barnsback

Hugh Blackwell *


88

Mecklenburg

Mary Belk

Rob Bryan *


90

Surry, Wilkes

Vera Smith Reynolds

Sarah Stevens *


91

Mecklenburg

Eugene Russell

Kyle Hall *


92

Mecklenburg

Chaz Beasley

Beth Danae Caulfield


93

Ashe, Watauga

Sue Counts

Jonathan Jordan *


94

Alleghany, Wilkes

Michael Lentz

Jeffrey Elmore *


98

Mecklenburg

John Bradford III *

Jane Campbell


101

Mecklenburg

Beverly Earle *

Justin Dunn


103

Mecklenburg

Rochelle Rivas

William Brawley *


104

Mecklenburg

Peter Noris

Andy Dulin


105

Gaston

Connie Green-Johnson

Scott Stone *


109

Gaston

Susan Maxon

Dana Bumgardner *


112

Burke, Rutherford


David Rogers *

Ben Edwards (Unaffiliated)

113

Henderson, Polk, Transylvania

Maureen Mahan Copelof

Cody Henson


115

Henderson

John Ager *

Frank Moretz


118

Haywood, Madison, Yancey

Rhonda Cole Schandevel

Michele Presnell *


119

Haywood, Jackson, Swain

Joe Sam Queen *

Mike Clampitt


120

Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Macon

Randy Hogseed

Kevin Corbin


To review McGuireWoods Consulting’s spotlight on state House races, click here.

NC Senate Elections

The GOP successfully flipped one seat in the state Senate, resulting in a stronger supermajority for the party. The Republicans held 34 of 50 seats before Election Day and the balance will now stand at 35-15. Fifteen candidates, four Democrats and 11 Republicans were running unopposed.

Republicans flipped the District 13 seat, where Democratic incumbent Sen. Jane Smith was defeated by Republican Danny Britt.

In the below chart, incumbents are marked with an asterisk next to their name and the winner of each race is highlighted in yellow.

District

Counties

Democrat

Republican

Libertarian/ Unaffiliated

1

Beaufort, Camden, Currituck, Dare, Gates, Hyde, Pasquotank, Perquimans

Brownie Futrell

Bill Cook *


2

Cateret, Craven, Pamlico

Dorothea White

Norman Sanderson *


4

Halifax, Nash, Vance, Warren, Wilson

Angela Bryant *

Richard Scott


9

New Hanover

Andrew Barnhill

Michael Lee *


11

Johnston, Nash, Wilson

Albert Pacer

Rick Horner


12

Harnett, Johnston, Lee

Susan Byerly

Ronald Rabin *


13

Columbus R, Robeson

Jane Smith*

J.R. Britt

15

Wake

Laurel Deegan-Fricke

John Alexander *

Brad Hessel (Libertarian)

16

Wake

Jay Chaudhuri *

Eric Weaver


17

Wake

Susan Evans

Tamara Barringer *

Susan Hogarth (Libertarian)

18

Franklin, Wake

Gil Johnson

Chad Barefoot *


19

Cumberland

Toni Morris

Wesley Meredith *


20

Durham, Granville

Floyd McKissick *


Barbara Howe (Libertarian)

21

Cumberland, Hoke

Ben Clark *

Dan Travieso


22

Caswell, Durham, Person

Mike Woodard *

Greg Doucette


23

Chatham, Orange

Valerie Foushee *

Mary Lopez Carter


24

Alamance, Randolph

John Thorpe

Rick Gunn *


25

Anson, Richmond, Scotland, Stanly

Dannie Montgomery

Tom McInnis *


27

Guilford

Michael Garrett

Trudy Wade *


28

Guilford

Gladys Robinson *

Devin King


30

Stokes, Surry, Wilkes

Michael Holleman

Shirley Randleman *


33

Davidson, Montgomery

Jim Graham

Cathy Dunn


36

Cabarrus, Union

Robert Brown

Paul Newton


37

Mecklenburg

Jeff Jackson *

Bob Diamond


38

Mecklenburg

Joel Ford *

Richard Rivette


39

Mecklenburg

Lloyd Scher

Dan Bishop


40

Mecklenburg

Joyce Waddell *

Marguerite Cooke


41

Mecklenburg

Jonathan Hudson

Jeff Tarte *

Chris Cole (Libertarian)

44

Gaston, Iredell, Lincoln


David Curtis *

Nic Haag (Libertarian)

45

Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Caldwell, Watagua

Art Sherwood

Deanna Ballard *


46

Burke, Cleveland

Anne Fischer

Warren Daniel *


47

Madison, McDowell, Mitchell, Polk, Rutherford, Yancey

Mary Jane Boyd

Ralph Hise *


48

Buncombe, Henderson, Transylvania

Norman Bossert

Chuck Edwards *


49

Buncombe

Terry Van Duyn *


William Meredith (Libertarian)

50

Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain

Jane Hipps

Jim Davis *

To review McGuireWoods Consulting’s spotlight on state Senate races, click here.

Federal Election Results

US President

As a swing state, NC was in the spotlight this year as Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton spent both time and money campaigning across the state. The state favored Republican candidate Donald Trump over Democrat Hillary Clinton with 51% of the vote. Trump picked up 15 electoral votes by winning the state, putting him on the path towards 270.

Though Clinton led in the urban areas of Mecklenburg, Orange, Durham and Wake counties – Trump gained support in virtually every suburban and rural county across the state. Gender, race and education were major factors in the state’s presidential election. Women and non-white voters favored Clinton and Trump had support with non-college whites. The influx of rural voters across the country, including in NC, and lower participation levels in the African-American community led Trump to victory.

Clinton conceded to Trump late last night and spoke publically earlier this morning.

US Senate

Republican incumbent Richard Burr secured 51.11% of the vote in his race against Democratic challenger Deborah Ross. He has represented NC in the US Senate for four terms.

The balance of the US Senate remains in favor of the Republicans who now hold 51 of the 100 seats.

US House of Representatives

Republicans retained their majority of the NC delegation with 10 of the 13 seats; there was no change in the partisan balance of the state’s delegation. Additionally, in each race involving an incumbent, the incumbent won reelection. In the below charts, incumbents are marked with an asterisk next to their name and the winner of each race is highlighted in yellow.

Republicans will continue to hold a majority in the US House with 239 of 431 seats.

District

Democrat

Republican

Libertarian/ Unaffiliated

1

G.K Butterfield *

H. Powell Dew

J.J. Summerell (Libertarian)

2

John McNeil

George Holding *


3

David Hurst

Walter Jones *


4

David Price *

Sue Googe


5

Josh Brannon

Virginia Foxx *


6

Pete Glidewell

Mark Walker *


7

J. Wesley Casteen

David Rouzer *


8

Thomas Mills

Richard Hudson *


9

Christian Cano

Robert Pittenger *


10

Andy Millard

Patrick McHenry *


11

Rick Bryson

Mark Meadows *


12

Alma Adams *

Leon Threatt


13

Bruce Davis

Ted Budd


To review McGuireWoods Consulting’s spotlight on Federal races in NC, click here.

NC Judicial Elections

Supreme Court

One seat on the state’s Supreme Court was on yesterday’s ballot. Incumbent Justice Robert Edmunds, a Republican, lost his race against Judge Michael Morgan, a Democrat. Judge Morgan won with 54.45% of the vote. Judge Morgan’s win will mean an ideological switch in favor of Democrats for the first time in nearly 20 years.

Court of Appeals

In all five for the NC Court of Appeals, Republican affiliated judges were victorious, resulting in one incumbent, a Democrat, losing her seat.

In the below chart, incumbents are marked with an asterisk next to their name and the winner of each race is highlighted in yellow.

Democratic Candidate

Republican Candidate

Vince Rozier

Richard Dietz *

Abe Jones

Robert Hunter *

Linda Stephens *

Phil Berger, Jr

Rickye McKoy-Mitchell

Valerie Zachary *

Margaret Eagles

Hunter Murphy

To review McGuireWoods Consulting’s spotlight on Judicial races, click here.