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Oct 31, 2019

2019 U.S. State Elections Interactive Roundup

Welcome to McGuireWoods Consulting’s 2019 U.S. State Elections Roundup interactive website -- your one-stop resource for this year’s gubernatorial and attorneys general races.

Complete with concise information about how state elections are shaping up around the country -- our site provides a landscape view of our nation’s political scene and insights on potential shifts in the tide.

Our goal is to provide business leaders and constituents quick, reliable access to comprehensive information about this year’s elections. Based on a compilation of public polling and forecasting data collected and analyzed by UVA Center for Elections and the Cook Political Report, information provided on our site will be updated as appropriate. We hope you find our site helpful, and please let us know if you have any questions about the 2019 state elections.

Gov. James Hodges, President

Your Election Resources

 Jim Hodges
Mona Mohib
 Gov. James Hodges,
President

Mona Mohib,
Senior Vice President

 scott binkley
Mike Reynold
Scott Binkley, 
Vice President 

Michael Reynold,
Senior Vice President

 

Interactive Maps

Click on a state below for an analysis of gubernatorial and attorneys general races.

The information in this presentation is based on the latest publicly available data and is subject to change. Last updated October 31, 2019. 

Gubernatorial Race Projections

Kentucky | Louisiana | Mississippi

2019 gubernatorial race projections

Attorneys General Race Projections

Kentucky | Mississippi

2019 attorneys general election projections


State-by-State Analysis

 

kentucky

Kentucky

 

Gubernatorial

 andy beshear  matt bevin

 Democratic Nominee: Andy Beshear

 Republican Nominee: Matt Bevin (Incumbent)


Primary Results

  • Andy Beshear (State Attorney General): 37.9%; 149,483 votes
  • Gov. Matt Bevin (Incumbent): 52.4%; 136,060 votes

Analysis

  • Democrat Andy Beshear, the state attorney general, will face current Republican Governor Matt Bevin.
  • Gov. Bevin has drawn criticism for his public statements, and one poll names him the most unpopular governor in the country.

This race leans Republican.

Attorney General

 greg stumbo  daniel cameron

 Democratic Nominee: Greg Stumbo

Republican Nominee: Daniel Cameron


Primary Results

  • Daniel Cameron (Attorney): 55.3%; 132,400 votes
  • Greg Stumbo (Former attorney general and state House speaker): Uncontested

Analysis

  • With Democrat Attorney General Andy Beshear running for governor, this is an open seat race.
  • Stumbo had no primary challenger.
  • Cameron is a former staff lawyer for Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.
  • RAGA adds that Daniel Cameron is a young rising star and that this is a close race, but Cameron has a clear path to victory in a state that is shifting further right.
  • DAGA highlights that in the span of a week, Democratic AG candidate Greg Stumbo received two major endorsements from Kentucky’s leading newspapers: The Courier Journal and The Lexington Herald-Leader, showing Stumbo’s appeal to average Kentuckians.
  • A Republican has not held Kentucky’s attorney general office since 1948.

This race leans Republican.


louisiana

Louisiana

 

Gubernatorial 

john edwards eddie rispone

Democratic Nominee: John Edwards (Incumbent)

 Republican Nominee: Eddie Rispone

Primary Results

  • John Edwards (Incumbent): 46.6%, 626,000 votes
  • Eddie Rispone (Businessman): 27.4%, 368,318 votes

Analysis

  • Gov. Edwards is running for re-election to a second term.
  • Republican businessman Eddie Rispone beat out four other primary candidates in the primary election.
  • The Republican Governors Association adds that since Louisiana adopted the open primary system in 1975, NO governor has been re-elected in a run-off election, and that trend will continue in 2019 and that nearly 52% of all voters cast a ballot for a Republican candidate for governor.
  • The Democratic Governors Association adds that Republicans lost 6.3 percentage points collectively from 2015 to 2019, while Governor Edwards grew his jungle primary support by 6.7%.
  • The runoff election for governor is scheduled for Nov. 16. 

This race is a toss-up.

Attorney General

  • Louisiana re-elected Attorney General Jeff Landry.

mississippi

Mississippi

 

Gubernatorial 

 jim hood  tate reeves

Democratic Nominee: Jim Hood

Republican Nominee: Tate Reeves


Primary Results

  • Jim Hood (Attorney General): 68.8%; 199,467 votes
  • Tate Reeves (Lieutenant Governor): 54%; 177,270 votes (primary runoff election results)

Analysis

  • After being forced into a runoff election, Lieutenant Governor Reeves became the Republican party’s nominee for governor.

This race leans Republican.

Attorney General

 jennifer collins  lynn fitch

 Democratic Nominee: Jennifer Collins

 Republican Nominee: Lynn Fitch


Primary Results

  • Jennifer Collins (Executive Director, American Civil Liberties Union): Uncontested
  • Lynn Fitch (Treasurer): 52.1%; 165,677 (primary runoff election results)

Analysis

  • With Democrat Attorney General Jim Hood running for governor, this is an open seat race.
  • Lynn Fitch defeated opponent Andy Taggart in a tight runoff election for the Republican nomination.
  • Jennifer Collins had no primary challenger.
  • The Republican Attorneys General Association adds that Lynn Fitch is in a strong position to be elected based on RAGA’s internal polling and that electing Republican Lynn Fitch is a top priority for RAGA in 2019.

This race leans Republican.