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Oct 14, 2019

2019 U.S. State Elections Interactive Roundup

Welcome to McGuireWoods Consulting’s 2019 U.S. State Elections Roundup interactive website -- your one-stop resource for this year’s gubernatorial, attorneys general, and state legislature races.

Complete with concise information about how state elections are shaping up around the country -- our site provides a landscape view of our nation’s political scene and insights on potential shifts in the tide.

Our goal is to provide business leaders and constituents quick, reliable access to comprehensive information about this year’s elections. Based on a compilation of public polling and forecasting data collected and analyzed by Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball and the Cook Political Report, information provided on our site will be updated as appropriate. We hope you find our site helpful, and please let us know if you have any questions about the 2019 state elections.

Gov. James Hodges, President

Your Election Resources

 Jim Hodges
Mona Mohib
 scott binkley
 Gov. James Hodges,
President

Mona Mohib,
Senior Vice President

Scott Binkley, 
Vice President 

 

Interactive Maps

Click on a state below for an analysis of gubernatorial, attorneys general, and state legislature races.

The information in this presentation is based on the latest publicly available data and is subject to change. Last updated October 14, 2019. 

Gubernatorial Race Projections

Kentucky | Louisiana | Mississippi

2019 gubernatorial race projections

Attorneys General Race Projections

Kentucky | Louisiana | Mississippi

2019 attorneys general election projections

State Legislatures: House Chambers

Louisiana | Mississippi | New Jersey | Virginia

2019 election house chamber projections

State Legislatures: Senate Chambers

Louisiana | Mississippi | Virginia

2019 elections senate chamber projections

 


State-by-State Analysis

 

kentucky

Kentucky

 

Gubernatorial

 andy beshear  matt bevin

 Democratic Nominee: Andy Beshear

 Republican Nominee: Matt Bevin (Incumbent)


Primary Results

  • Andy Beshear (State Attorney General): 37.9%; 149,483 votes
  • Gov. Matt Bevin (Incumbent): 52.4%; 136,060 votes

Analysis

  • Democrat Andy Beshear, the state attorney general, will face current Republican Governor Matt Bevin.
  • Gov. Bevin has drawn criticism for his public statements, and one poll names him the most unpopular governor in the country.

This race leans Republican.

Attorney General

 greg stumbo  daniel cameron

 Democratic Nominee: Greg Stumbo

Republican Nominee: Daniel Cameron


Primary Results

  • Daniel Cameron (Attorney): 55.3%; 132,400 votes
  • Greg Stumbo (Former attorney general and state House speaker): Uncontested

Analysis

  • With Democrat Attorney General Andy Beshear running for governor, this is an open seat race.
  • Stumbo had no primary challenger.
  • Cameron is a former staff lawyer for Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.
  • A Republican has not held Kentucky’s attorney general office since 1948.

This race leans Democratic.


louisiana

Louisiana

 

Gubernatorial 

john edwards eddie rispone

Democratic Nominee: John Edwards (Incumbent)

 Republican Nominee: Eddie Rispone

Primary Results

  • John Edwards (Incumbent): 46.6%, 626,000 votes
  • Eddie Rispone (Businessman): 27.4%, 368,318 votes

Analysis

  • Gov. Edwards is running for re-election to a second term.
  • Republican businessman Eddie Rispone beat out four other primary candidates in the primary election.
  • The runoff election for governor is scheduled for Nov. 16. 

This race leans Democratic. 

State Legislature

Senate

Current 25-14 R
Projected Safe Republican

 House

Current 61-39 R, 4 Independent, 1 Vacant
Projected Safe Republican

Analysis

  • 47 of the legislature’s 144 seats are open races due to term limits.
  • A record number of women are running for the House and Senate, with 22 announced candidacies, and 22 female incumbents running for reelection.
 

mississippi

Mississippi

 

Gubernatorial 

 jim hood  tate reeves

Democratic Nominee: Jim Hood

Republican Nominee: Tate Reeves


Primary Results

  • Jim Hood (Attorney General): 68.8%; 199,467 votes
  • Tate Reeves (Lieutenant Governor): 54%; 177,270 votes (primary runoff election results)

Analysis

  • After being forced into a runoff election, Lieutenant Governor Reeves became the Republican party’s nominee for governor.

This race leans Republican.

Attorney General

 jennifer collins  lynn fitch

 Democratic Nominee: Jennifer Collins

 Republican Nominee: Lynn Fitch


Primary Results

  • Jennifer Collins (Executive Director, American Civil Liberties Union): Uncontested
  • Lynn Fitch (Treasurer): 52.1%; 165,677 (primary runoff election results)

Analysis

  • With Democrat Attorney General Jim Hood running for governor, this is an open seat race.
  • Lynn Fitch defeated opponent Andy Taggart in a tight runoff election for the Republican nomination.
  • Jennifer Collins had no primary challenger.

This race leans Democratic.

State Legislature

Senate

Current 31-18 R, 3 Vacant
Projected Likely Republican

 House

Current 74-44 R, 2 Independent, 2 Vacant
Projected Likely Republican

Analysis

  • Mississippi has been a Republican trifecta since the 2012 legislative session.

 


new jersey

New Jersey

 

 

State Legislature

Assembly
Current 52-26 D

Analysis

  • New Jersey is holding elections for all 80 state Assembly seats.

This race is projected as safe Democratic.


virginia

Virginia

 

State Legislature

Senate

Current 20-19 R
Projected Toss-Up

 House

Current 51-49 R
Projected Toss-Up

Analysis

  • In the House, there are 13 open seats; in the Senate, there are four open seats.
  • With only a slight GOP majority in both chambers, every race has the potential to flip the majority to the Democrats in the House and Senate.